2014 Stanley Cup Playoff Predictions - Otto

West:

Anaheim vs Dallas: (Season series: Stars 2-1)

The Ducks wrapped up the top spot in the West a few days before the end of the season. Their opponent was still up in the air until Dallas was able to overtake the final wildcard spot from the Mike Smithless Phoenix Coyotes.

Anaheim has been among the trio of California teams batting for the top spot in the Pacific Division all season. The Ducks have been one of the league’s best home teams this season, their 29 home wins are good for second best. They do not struggle to score, however they do not have the scoring depth of some of the teams in this year’s playoffs. They will need to get good goaltending from Jonas Hiller if they are to make a deep run this year.

The stars quietly made their way back into the playoffs for the first time since the 07-08 season despite a loss to the Coyotes in the final game of the season. A balanced scoring attack led by Tyler Seguin and Jamie Benn is what helped the Stars back to the playoffs.  Steady goaltending provided by Kari Lehtonen didn't hurt their chances either. They will need the same performance that they got in his 33 wins to get past the Ducks in the first round.

While I like to think that the Stars have the ability to grind it out with Anaheim’s top two lines, I think that in the end the Ducks will be able to overpower the Stars.  I’ll take the Ducks in 6.

Colorado vs Minnesota (Season Series: Avs 4-0-1)

Last season, the Colorado Avalanche were near the bottom of the league in virtually every category. Their only major win was the draft lottery, which provided them with the first overall pick. This season has been a complete change in fortune. The Avs were competing for the top seed in the west up until the last game of the season. While that bid came up short, they were able to pass both the Blues and Blackhawks to claim the Central Division title, landing them a date with the Minnesota Wild in the first round. They keys to success for the Avs were outstanding goaltending from Semyon Varlamov  (a team record 41 wins in 63 games played) and unbelievable play from the young stars. They Avs are a threat to score at any point of the game while not sacrificing defense to do so. They speed that the Avs possess doesn't compare to any team I have watched this season.

The Wild put together a nice push at the end of the season to walk away with the top wild card spot. After a quick scare that they might falter like they did to close out the 2012-13 campaign, not counting a lopsided loss to the Predators on the final day of the season, the Wild won their last 4 meaningful games. In that stretch, the wins came against Pittsburgh, Boston, St Louis, and Winnipeg. Healthy goaltenders have been an issue for the Wild this season. 4 goalies have made 10 or more starts, all 4 of them registering at least 5 wins. It appears Ilya Bryzgalov will be the starter for the Wild, though youngster Darcy Kuemper will be ready to go if called upon.

Although I will be rooting for the Wild to win, I have a feeling they have one more year to go before making a playoff run. Qualifying for a second straight year is definitely something to build upon. Overall it’s the speed and goaltending that will allow the Avs to win this series in 5.

San Jose vs Los Angeles (Season Series: Kings 3-1-1)

This battle of California is the series that I am looking forward to watching the most. They Sharks have been sharp all season while battling for the Pacific division title. However, they have struggled this decade (and some of the last) to get their wins when it matters. On paper their team game should be successful, they have a great combination of leadership and youth. They have consistent goaltending which is all that they need when everyone buys in to the system.

The Kings are one of those teams that don’t play their best hockey in the regular season. As long as they are in position to make the playoffs they re content. Their grind it out style game is exactly what is needed for the second season. A healthy Jonathan Quick may be the difference in this series, unless trade deadline Marian Gaborik can shake of his playoff struggles and provide some offensive firepower. If the Kings can start scoring some goals to go along with their team defense, they may become the team to beat in 2014.

Seeing San Jose win this series at home wouldn't surprise me in the least. However, since they have been there before and have proved that they can win, I’ll take the Kings in 6.

St Louis vs Chicago (Season Series: Blues 3-2)

Just two weeks ago, the Blues were looking to knock off the Pacific powerhouses and claim the top spot in the west. Six games, and six losses later, not only did they not get the top spot in the west, they didn't even finish with the top spot in the Central. Ryan Miler has looked average at best, possibly the result of few to many pucks in Buffalo. They Blues haven’t been able to score lately either. They will need both to get back on track to make a run at the Blackhawks, even though the Blues are the higher ranked team.

Chicago might have gotten an odd form of benefit from the injuries to Jonathan Towes and Patrick Kane. Both players are keys to the success of the Blackhawks and were important to their Olympic teams as well. So, given that both return above 90% healthy, the rest could rejuvenate the defending champions. Cory Crawford has been reliable again this season, registering 32 wins.

I don’t know if the Blues can snap out of their slump in time to beat a very talented and experienced Blackhawks team. Chicago in 6 is my pick.

East:

Boston vs Detroit (Season Series: Wings 3-1)

Boston is the most balanced team in the East by a long shot. They can score goals, they have great defense, and their goalie is in the running for the Vezina trophy. The Bruins have been able to take it easy down the stretch, resting a few key players without the threat of being caught by anyone else in the East. The idea that it might have been a bad thing that most of season was played without much competition is concerning for those outside of the Boston locker room. Whether or not they are able to flip the switch to playoff competition will be interested, especially against an opponent like the Wings

The Red Wings simply don’t know how to miss the playoffs. Only a few weeks ago, the possibility of a Detroitless playoffs seemed to be real. As the weeks wound down, the young players took over and the Wings started to get healthy. Datsyuk and Zetterberg returned to the lineup, providing the leadership and experience that was needed to make the playoff push that always seems to happen. They Wings have to like their chances against the Bruins as well given their regular season success against them. They play of Jimmy Howard will be the key to this series. If he can steal a game early, especially on the road, it may swing the momentum enough to change the series.

Of all the wild card teams, I think Detroit has the best chance to move on. However, I think that Boston might just be too good to lose this one. I’ll take the Bruins in 7,

Pittsburgh vs Columbus (Season Series: Penguins 5-0)

Baring another collapse by Marc-Andre Fleury, I believe that this series will be the most lopsided for the first round. The Pens can score with anyone in the league, as long as they are able to stay healthy. While that wasn't the case for most of the year, they are getting most of their key guys back as the playoffs start.

Columbus cannot match the offensive output of the Pens so they will be relying heavily on the services of the Bob. Sergei Bobrovski led the Jacket to 32 wins this year, 5 by shutout, while posting a .923 save percentage.  He will need to keep up those numbers just to keep the Blue Jackets in the series.

I think Bobrovski steals one at home but it will be just that. The Jackets get overpowered and the Pens take the series in 5.

Tampa Bay vs Montreal (Season Series: Lightning 3-0-1)

This match-up pairs 2 of the hottest teams in the league headed into the playoffs. Both have registered 7 wins in their last 10. While the season series looks like the Lightning dominated, 3 of the 4 games were decided in a shootout.

Tampa Bay has continued to succeed despite the departure of Marty St Louis. The team play of Ryan Callahan has allowed Steven Stamkos to excel as one as the league’s best players upon his return from injury. Ben Bishop, another potential Vezina candidate, has been important too. An X factor to start the year, his 37 wins kept the Lightning near the top of the division all season.

Montreal has quietly had a good season as well. Olympic goal medalist Carey Price led the Habs to second place in the division. Trade deadline acquisition Thomas Vanek helped solidify a solid offensive group. 

I think Carey Price’s career year continues and he leads the Canadians on to the second round in 6 games.

New York vs Philadelphia (Season Series: Tied 2-2)

This match up is arguably the biggest rivalry of the first round on the eastern side, though Detroit and Boston might not be too far behind for long.

The Rangers battled most of this year with the transition between the old and new style that comes with the hiring of a new coach. Now that they have settled in and added experience in Marty St. Louis, the Rangers have become a formidable opponent for anyone in the East. Brad Richards returned to being a 20 goal scorer, along with Rick Nash, while 5 other players got within 3 of the 20 goal mark. If Henrik Lundqvist can find playoff consistency to match his 2.36 regular season goals against average, this team looks mighty dangerous.

Philadelphia is surprise team in these playoffs given their terrible start to the season. A quick pull of the plug and changing of the coach allowed the Flyers to turn their season around and climb back into the playoff hunt. Another surprise this season for the Flyers is the play of Steve Mason. Written off by many, he returned this season and posted 33 wins. Seven, twenty goal scorers is the key for the Flyers. The Rangers might be able to shut down a line or two but if they can get secondary scoring, the Flyers have a chance to make a run.

I feel that the Rangers are going to have a good post season this year. They have the weapons to score goals and Lundqvist is due for a big playoff performance. In what should be a very intense series, I’ll take the Rangers in 6. 

Up and Down We Go, the Wild’s Path to the NHL Playoffs

The New Year has pumped some life into fans such as myself, as well at the chances at a playoff spot for the Minnesota Wild. During the month of January, the Wild went on both a three and four game winning streak while closing out the month with a win. The problem occurred between the two winning streaks where the Wild dropped three games in a row. Despite that streak the month was a success, an 8-4 record helped to propel the Wild from thirteenth place in the west to tenth. The Wild sit just 5 points out of fourth place with at least a game to play on each team above them. On the same note the Wild cannot fall back to old habits, they are only four points away from falling back into fourteenth place, ahead of only the Oilers. Vancouver has remained out in front in both the Western Conference and the Northwest division compiling 71 points with a 4-2-4 record in their last ten.

In terms of the wins and losses I would have preferred the losing streak to have happened against the Eastern Conference part of the January schedule but the Wild did go 3-1 on the month against the teams in their division. The most notable stretch in January was the three game winning streak against the division opponents, the Wild seemed to find their offensive power which in turn tuned up the defense. Rookie goaltender, Anton Khudobin, strung together two excellent performances; shutting out Vancouver while making 32 saves and holding Edmonton to just one goal on 31 shots. The following night Niklas Backstrom returned between the pipes and answered the performance by Khudobin with a shutout of his own. During the winning streak the Wild provided their goalies with 14 goals of support, one of the strongest performances of the season so far.

The balance of the offense has been shifted a bit as well; I would not be surprised at all if the Wild have one of the most balanced stat books in the league. Four players currently are tied for the team lead in goals with 14; Martin Havlat, whose groove lately found him an all star spot, Mikko Koivu, Brent Burns, and Cal Clutterbuck. Havlat and Koivu are supposed to score goals but Burns is a defenseman and Clutterbuck is the definition of a grinder. Andrew Brunette currently has 12 goals and Matt Cullen has added 10 of his own, making both players capable of joining the list of leaders on any night. The overall points lead is a bit more spread out, Havlat and Koivu are the only two players with at least 40 points with 44 and 43 respectively while Cullen and Burns are the only two in the thirties with 31 a piece.

The month of February will be a true test for the Wild, while they only have four games against division opponents they play 13 games against teams that will also be trying to move into and or improve their playoff position. Matchups include two of the three current division leaders and three games against teams who currently tied for the final playoff spot in the West (positions 7, 8, and 9). Time will tell if another month similar to last month's 8-4 record will result in more positive movement or a neutral wash but either way if the Wild can find a way to repeat that success the beginning of March will hold a lot of promise.

The other big event in January was the all-star game, which ended up including two Wild players; Martin Havlat and Brent Burns. Both players were on Team Lidstrom, who won the game 11-10. Havlat picked up three assists despite being a -1 rating overall, Burns added an assist of his own while being a -2. Congratulations again to both of these players on their selections as well as to all who were involved with the game.

Tonight is also a big night in Minnesota hockey world as Andrew Brunette(Bruno) will take the ice for his 1,000th NHL game. Tonight's game against the Kings will be number 457 for Bruno in a Wild uniform.
Brunette is the team's second all time leading scorer with 303 points, trailing only Marian Gaborik in that category. Congratulations to you as well Bruno and may you have many more games left, preferably in the Wild uniform.

The NHL Playoffs

            With the conference finals underway let’s take a look back at the playoffs so far this year. First Philadelphia makes the playoffs in the final game of the regular season by winning a shoot out against the Rangers. The first round brought us plenty of upsets, in the east only the defending champion Penguins managed to beat the lower seeded team. In the west the Red Wings “upset” the young and upcoming Coyotes in 7 games while the higher seed prevailed in 6 games in the other 3 series.

The second round brought a few more surprises in the east and more of the expected in the west. Montreal went the distance against the Penguins beating them on the road in seven games, selling out their home rink to watch the game on the big screen. The Flyers made history coming back from a 3-0 series deficit to beat the Bruins in 7 games, only the second NHL team ever to do so. Making this story even better for the Flyers is that they lost their starting goalie, Brian Boucher, in game 5 and relied on backup Michael Leighton to get their final 3 wins of the series. The top seed Sharks took care of Detroit while number 2 Chicago took care of the 3 seed Vancouver. This set up exact opposites for the Conference Finals, the #1 and #2 seeds playing for the Western Conference championship and the #7 and #8 seeds playing for the Eastern Conference title.

The surprise stories for me are the Sharks in the West and too many to mention in the East but probably the Flyers and Canadians. Coming into the playoffs the talk was about whether or not the Sharks could overcome the choke tag that they had earned the past 2 years. A slow start to the series, losing the first game at home and leaving the ice to audible boos after a 2-1 loss put more pressure on the teams. They bounced back in the second game in a high scoring game then lost the third game on a bizarre play where Dan Boyle appeared to have the puck go in his own net. The Sharks bounced back however and won the series in 6 games. In the second round they jumped out to a 3-0 series lead against the Red Wings, missing only a beat when they lost game 4, then finished off the series at home in game 5. The Coyotes would have been the best story had they been able to finish off Detroit at home in game 7. Phoenix was a team that no one knew about or expected to succeed coming into the season, a 4^th place finish in the highly competitive west was needless to say a great story.

Personally my favorite story in the east was the Montreal Canadians beating Sidney Crosby and the Penguins in Pittsburgh in game 7. Hail Gill and company did such a great job of shutting Crosby down it prompted the coach about the type of game the Canadians were playing. Both the Flyers and Canadians have strong arguments for being the best story, when is the last time you saw a seven seed have home ice advantage in the second to last round? Jaroslov Halak has been the story for the Canadians, as they have been outshot in both of the series so far, shutting down Alex Ovechkin and Sidney Crosby each for 7 games is no small task. For the Flyers once again how they made the playoffs, the loss of their starting goalie, or missing 3 of their leaders for at least part of the playoffs (Gagne, Laperriere, Carter). Either way you look at it the 2010 Playoffs have been great entertainment.

As for the third round I’m rooting for the Canadians, I would love to see a Canadian team make it to the finals the history and fan support there is unreal. If you haven’t yet tune in for the beginning of a game where they show the national anthems, at any point during the Canadian or American song the singer can stop singing and the crowd carries on for as long as asked, it gives me the chills every time. Out of the west I am rooting for Chicago, they are a very young team that no one really knew what to expect. Patrick Kane’s mullet is in full effect (his equivalent of the playoff beard) and they are just a fun team to watch. For the finals of course ill be rooting for the US teams we want to have some kind of pride to hold onto after the Olympics.