Saturday, September 24, 2011

Atlantic Divison

Atlantic: Quite possibly the toughest division in hockey is the Atlantic Division. With four teams who could be in the hunt for a playoff spot, there is very little room for error in this highly competitive division.

Penguins:

With or without Sidney Crosby the Pens are number one. With Crosby they are as deep as any team in the league especially down the middle. I don’t have to say much more than Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, and Jordan Staal. Even without Crosby who is still battling post concussion syndrome, the Penguins can slide Jason Williams into the 3rd line center slot and still have a very formidable punch. The addition of young power forward James Neal at last years deadline was a brilliant move by GM Ray Shero. Neal in my opinion plays a similar style to former NHL star Bill Guerin who enjoyed a resurgence while playing with Crosby. If Crosby is healthy I look for Neal to have a monster year. Another quiet move that I think will pay off is the addition of veteran winger Steve Sullivan. This guy is always productive when healthy and that was on teams without a lot of support (Nashville, and Chicago before they won the cup). On a side note the Pens went out and signed tough guy and former Amerk Steve MacIntyre to protect the assets. Let me tell you I have never seen such a monster of a man. No steroids here folks just good old fashioned western Canada farm muscle. He also is quite the character. While in Rochester, he asked the owner Curt Styres if he could drive the owners Ford F-650 around town to boost awareness for the team. The truck is bright orange and had the Amerks logo on it. MacIntyre told Styres he would go around town and sign autographs and take pictures with fans that recognized him. Time to get back on track.

Kris Letang is an emerging star on defense. 50 points last season is impressive considering he didn’t have Sid the Kid or Geno to feed the puck to while on the mad advantage. Joining Letang to form a solid top four are tough stay at homer Brooks Orpik, Zbynek Michalek, and Paul Martin. The M and M boys both enjoyed their first seasons in steel town. The last pairing will be filled out by a combination of tough guy Deryk Engelland, sophomore Ben Lovejoy who some of you might remember for having a swelled up face during HBO’s 24/7, and Matt Niskanen who came over with Neal at the deadline.

The crease is protected by Brent Johnson’s right cross. Just ask Rick DiPietro how good it is. Anyhow, the number one guy in Pittsburgh is Marc-Andre Fleury. The flower had a slow start last season but managed to turn it around and get his team into the playoffs without Crosby or Malkin.

The biggest reason I think the Pens will be #1 is the man behind the bench. I don’t think there is a coach with a better feel for his team than Dan Bylsma. He knows what buttons to push and when to push them. He will be an annual nominee for the Jack Adams Trophy as the years go by. (1st Atl, 1st EC)

Rangers:

Some would fans seem to think that signing the biggest name in the free agency market means you’re going to win the following June. Does that sound like a New York fan for any sport? Want to know where the most outrageous fans in all of sports they are? Look to the Big Apple. One day they think they have the best team in the world, the next day they are a bunch of losers. Anyhow, there is reason for Rangers’ fans to be excited this season. The addition of Brad Richards is huge for a team who’s been looking for a #1 center since Mark Messier left. Though Richards has a bit of an injury history he is a proven leader and playoff performer. Not to mention he has a successful past with Coach John Tortarella. Who by the way cut his teeth behind the bench in Rochester winning the Calder Cup in 1996. Torts is known as a no nonsense coach who demands a high effort level from his players.

No one on the roster exemplifies hard work and determination better than newly elected captain and Ryan Callahan who by the way is from…. you guessed it Rochester! That makes two Rochester natives to be named Captain of Original Six teams. Not failing to mention that Dustin Brown the LA Kings Captain is also from Ithaca, NY. Callahan is the undisputed leader of the Blueshirts and is the correct choice to wear the “C.” To go along with Ricahrds and Callahan the NYR possess Otto’s favorite player, Marian Gaborik who has enjoyed his first two seasons in blue after coming over from Minnesota. The problem with Gaborik is that he is very injury prone. When healthy he can be a top five, point producer in the league and game changer. Joining Richards and Gaborik on the top line will most likely be Wojtek Wolski who didn’t produce as expected in his first season with the club. On the second line will be Callahan, Brandon Dubinksy and most likely second year player Derek Stepan. The rest of the forwards include grinders and guys who put in an honest effort each night.

The biggest concern for the club is the lack of depth on defense. Marc Staal and Dan Girardi are a solid top pair but after that it’s pretty rough. Youngsters Michael Del Zotto, Michael Sauer, and Ryan McDonagh look to hold off up and coming prospect Tim Erixon who the Rangers picked up from Calgary after he refused to sign with the Flames.

The Madison Square Garden faithful love to chant “Henry! Henry! Henry!” to show their love for one of the world’s best net minders Henrik Lundqvist. King Henry put up another solid season in the Garden and looks to get back into Vezina contention. Former Amerk Martin Biron will back him up, who by the way is one of the nicest guys you will ever meet. Even though he hasn’t played in Buffalo for five years he still makes his home in the city and is a regular contributor to many charity functions in the city.

Overall the Rangers will make this year’s playoffs as long as Richards and Gaborik stay healthy. If King Henry can get hot late, this team could be a cup contender. (2nd Atl, 4th EC)

Flyers:

Coming to ABC this fall, Extreme NHL Franchise Makeover, starring the Philadelphia Flyers. Gone are franchise cornerstones Jeff Carter and former Captain Mike Richards, in are a boat load of new faces and one super old one.

GM Paul Holmgren grew tired of watching the carousel of goaltenders on his roster not perform to an adequate level and be the main reason his team was knocked out of the playoffs the past two seasons. To fix that problem, Holmgren traded for the negotiating rights to soon to be free agent Ilya Bryzgalov. But since the GM was already bogged down with several long-term deals to skaters he needed to free up some cap space to sign his soon to be franchise goaltender. To start, he sent Carter to Columbus for the #8 pick in the draft who turned out to be Sean Couturier (formerly ranked the top prospect overall by The Hockey News), 3rd round pick (Nick Cousins) and Jakub Voracek who was a highly touted prospect for Columbus but hasn’t produced at the NHL level. To be honest whom for Columbus has? I mean seriously, has there been a worse team at drafting a developing players than the Blue Jackets? Other than Rick Nash there isn’t a player I can think of and I’ve seen a lot of their prospects play for the Syracuse Crunch. Sorry for the tangent, now back to our original programming…

Not many in the hockey world were shocked when the news of the Carter to Columbus trade broke because everyone kind of assumed he would be the odd man out. But the trade that did surprise the league was the deal that sent Captain Mike Richards to the LA Kings for top prospect in all of hockey Brayden Schenn, power forward Wayne Simmonds, and LA’s next to 2nd round picks. It was rumored that Carter and Richards were enjoying life away from the rink a little too much and that it became a distraction in the locker room. Other additions to the Broad Street Bullies include Max Talbot (Penguins), Andreas Lilja (Ducks), and 39 year old Jaromir Jagr. Coming back from playing in the KHL the past two seasons, Jagr is looking forward to the opportunity to possible be on a line with Claude Giroux and Danny Briere. Also amongst the forwards in the top six is breakout candidate James VanRiemsdyk, who was the Flyers best skater in last year’s postseason.

The Bullies defense core is lead by Chris Pronger who was named Captain after the departure of Mike Richards. There are questions about Pronger’s ability to be as effective as he used to be for an entire season. The wear and tear from playing a physical style his whole career seems to be catching up with him. Pronger along with Braydon Coburn, Matt Carle, Lilja, Kimmo Timonen and Andreas Meszaros form a very solid group 1-6. As long as Pronger can keep himself in the lineup the Flyers has the defensive unit to get them back into the postseason.

As mentioned before, the GM Paul Homgren is turning over the crease to free agent acquisition Ilya Bryzgalov. After signing a huge contract for $51 Million over 9 years, Bryzgalov needs to develop tough skin especially if he and the team get off to a slow start. Backing up Bryzgalov will be fellow Russian, Sergi Bobrovsky. Bob as he is known around the league came out of no where last season to become the teams number one goalie earning 28 wins but flamed out down the stretch due to fatigue from not being used to playing so many games. (3rd Atl, 5th EC)

Devils:

A new coach, an aging goaltender, and recovering superstar. New Jersey is a very intriguing team to me for many reasons. First they didn’t make any significant moves in the offseason, which to me says the GM Lou Lamoriello thinks his team is better than it showed last season. A healthy Zach Parise will be much like a free agent signing since he missed all but 13 games last season. A top line of Praise, Patrick Elias and Ilya Kovalchuck will be a dangerous one with Elias’ passing ability, Parise’s great two way play and Kovalchuck’s deadly shot. After that trio there isn’t much. Center Travis Zajac could see time with Parise and Kovalchuck but disappointed last season being a -6 and only 44 points despite being Kovalchuck’s main pivot.

As usual, with the Devils there aren’t many big names on defense, just steady as she goes players. Adam Larsson, the #4 pick overall in this years draft might make the club out of camp and has been described as “the Swedish Scott Stevens.” I don’t believe it. Though he may be tougher than most Swedish defensemen, there is no way he is Scott Stevens’ tough. If Larsson can make the roster then he would most likely be paired with Henrik Tallinder who enjoyed his first season in New Jersey. 2nd pairing of Andy Greene and Anton Volchenkov is an OK pairing but nothing to write home about, and the 3rd pair is just plain ugly and could be a combination of guy even I haven’t heard of.

The aging Martin Broduer is back for another season. New coach Peter DeBoer has to figure out the right workload for Broduer to be successful and last the entire season. The problem with giving Broduer nights off means that Johan Hedberg has to play and though he is a capable back up, he doesn’t give the team the same chance to win as Broduer. This team is a couple defensemen and a winger away from being a playoff team. (4th Atl, 11th EC)

Islanders:

There’s reason for hope on the Island in 2011-2012. Franchise center John Tavares signed a long-term deal as did future Captain and power forward Kyle Okposo and late bloomer Michael Grabner. Grabner enjoyed a breakout season potting 34 goals that Florida apparently didn’t need. Talk about a bonehead move by Dale Tallon. Trade for a guy from Vancouver don’t give him a fair shot to making the roster, place him on waivers and then watch him score 34 goals for the Islanders. Anyhow, these three forwards along with 19-year-old Nino Niederreiter, solid two play pivot Frans Nielsen and sniper Matt Moulson give coach Jack Capuano a potentially potent top six. After the top six there is some work to be done, and GM Garth Snow started to improve that with the addition of Rochester Native Marty Reasoner and veteran winger Brian Rolston (his brother is now the Amerks’ Head Coach). Josh Bailey and Blake Comeau combine with a bunch of grinders and no names to fill out the forward lines.

On defense Mark Streit who was recently named captain is the beginning and the end for talented defensemen on the island. Mark Eaton, Mike Mottau, Milan Jurcina, Andrew MacDonald, and Travis Hamonic fill out the defense. MacDonald and Hamonic showed some potential towards the end of last season and look to build off of that.

The Sad to say but the defense isn’t even the worst part about the Islanders. That distinction belongs to the goaltending department. Owner Charles Wang probably gave away the worst contract of all time when he signed goalie Rick DiPietro to a 15 year deal worth $4.5 million a season. Especially when DiPietro is constantly injured, primarily groin and knee issues until he decided to let Brent Johnson use his face as a punching bag and received a concussion by doing so. Since they are stuck with DiPietro long term the team has brought in two goalies to fill in while DiPietro is injured. Al Montoya who was a highly rated prospect for the Rangers but never got a chance with Lundquvist in town and Kevin Poulin who was serviceable last season until he took a page out of the DiPietro playbook and missed the last 29 games with a knee injury. (5th Atl, 12th EC)

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

NHL Season Preview (Northeast Division)

Hello everyone!

This is my first foray into the blogosphere and the first time I have written something this long that isn’t going to be graded. To tell you a little about myself, I like to think I have a pretty objective point of view of the NHL since I do not have a “favorite” team in the league. I am a Rochester Americans fan who has no ties to the NHL other than the fact I live in Buffalo. I have been on the Amerks’ off-ice officials crew for the past 7 seasons, 4 of which I have been at ice level working in the penalty box which has given me a very up close and personal look at professional hockey.

Outside of hockey my other passions sports are the Atlanta Braves, and Women’s Softball Umpiring. Depending how this goes I might try posting on those topics as things arise. Now on to my 2011-2012 preview!

First up, the Northeast Division. Home of the defending Stanley Cup Champion Boston Bruins and home of quite possibly the worst team in hockey, the Ottawa Senators. This is a tough division to be in especially with the improvements made in Buffalo and Toronto.

Buffalo: Prior to this offseason General Manager Darcy Regier was known around the league as a GM who had to build a competitive team while balancing the budget. This summer his new owner Terry Pegula opened up the checkbook and boy did Darcy go shopping. The additions of Robyn Regehr, and Christian Erhoff to the back end will go a long way in improving what was in my opinion a very soft defensive core. Regehr is a tough stay at home defensemen who will log a lot of minutes for Coach Lindy Ruff who all season commented that his team lacked a “lockdown pair.” Well, now he’s got one. Regehr will most likely be paired with Tyler Myers who recently signed a 7 year extension and looks to build off of two strong seasons before the age of 21. Erhoff and his booming slap shot will help elevate a power play that I believe under achieves year after year. Jordan Leopold is a solid veteran will also see time with the man advantage and the 2nd pairing. The third pair will be some combination of Andrej Sekera, Mike Weber, and Marc-Andre Grangani. All three of them have their share of upsides and downfalls though I think it will end up being Weber and Grangani because Sekera seems to drive Ruff crazy at times with his apparent lack of interest.

Behind that defensive core is world-class goaltender Ryan Miller. Miller had a below par season in 2010 that was partly due to injury and overuse. This year with young Jonas Enroth to back him up the workload should be much less and therefore increase Miller’s effectiveness. If he can play the way he did for team USA during the Olympics, the Sabres will be a team on the rise.

For the most part the forward lines Ruff will roll out opening night will be very similar to last season. The big addition was Villie Leino who will be moved into center ice from the wing. This is a bit of a gamble for the Sabres who are new at this free agency thing. Leino has not played center in the NHL and also hasn’t really had a full season that merits the contract that they gave him. What he does bring to the team is playoff experience and playoff scoring which the current group of forwards desperately lacks. The core of Derek Roy, Thomas Vanek, Jason Pominville, and Drew Stafford are still there to fill in top six slots with Tyler Ennis and Nathan Gerbe competing for the last spot in the top six.

Overall the Sabres improved themselves enough to win their division and hopefully make it out of the first round of the playoffs but I think they are still a #1 center away from being a cup contender. (1st in NE, 2nd in EC)

Boston: The Stanley Cup Champions had a very short summer and a few key losses with only a few additions. Then again when you’re the champs you don’t usually have to change that much. The loss of veteran and three time cup winner Mark Recchi will hurt especially at the beginning of the season when it’s time to refocus and start the long season again. I anticipate a let down from guys like Brad Marchand and Tyler Seguin as well as most of the squad. It is a difficult thing to get ready for the upcoming season after spending the summer with the cup. (See Chicago Blackhawks 2010-2011) The team is built from the goal out. Tim Thomas and Tukka Rask are arguably the best 1-2 punch in the league and both have been the top guy the past two seasons. Thomas is the guy for now and Rask the future. The one thing that Boston does not have to worry about is goaltending.

The defensive core is a steady as any. Zdeno Chara is an annual Norris Trophy Candidate and Dennis Seidenberg used last year’s playoffs as a breakout party and let the world know that he is a top pair d-man. After the top pair Johnny Boychuck, Andrew Ference, Adam McQuaid and newcomer Joe Corvo who was basically traded for the disappointing Thomas Kaberle. This group is well rounded and steady.

Up front the Bruins are a pretty unexciting group but an effective group. Led by the trio of David Krecji, Nathan Hortorn and Milan Lucic. Coach Claude Julien preaches a defensive dump and chase style that likes to sends his big wingers to the net hard, and make things difficult for opposing goaltenders. The question will be if Horton can avoid the concussion problems that many Bruins have encountered over the years.

As the season progresses, the Bruins will get back to the level they were at when they won to cup and end up in second place in the Northeast. (2nd in NE 6th in EC)

Toronto: The playoff drought in Toronto will NOT continue. That’s right Leafs’ fans your boys will make the playoffs. This of course hinges on two things; a majority of their roster staying healthy and James Reimer being a real #1 goaltender. I like what Brian Burke has done the past couple years. The lineup isn’t really flashy but has a nice mix of players. The addition of the often-injured Tim Connolly to center the top line with streaky sniper Phil Kessel will hopefully help Kessel become a consistent scorer and not just a streaky sniper. Clarke MacArthur will most likely get first crack at the LW slot on the top line but I wouldn’t be surprised if Joffery Lupul gets a shot too. Mikhail Grabovski finally had the breakout season that the Montreal Canadiens were looking for when they drafted him, except he had it with their rival the Maple Leafs…. oops. I remember Grabovski on the Calder Cup winning Hamilton Bulldogs and he had a brief playoff stint but had 11 points in 7 games before being knocked out for the rest of the championship run. He falls into the category of Amerk Killer. The rest of forward group is pretty steady with a lot of interchangeable parts. A wild card could be Nazim Kadri. If he can tap into that potential and become a dynamic scorer he’s supposed to be then he too could see time in the top six.

On defense the Leafs improved with the addition of Cody Franson and John-Michael Liles. Franson is a young up and coming defensemen who along with Captain Dion Phaneuf will form a shutdown pairing for Coach Ron Wilson, who by the way might be on the hot seat if the team gets off to a slow start. Liles will help the Leafs on the man advantage. He is a proven power play quarterback who should succeed in the less physically demanding Eastern Conference after spending his entire career in Colorado.

Between the pipes the Leafs are going with James Reimer. He took Toronto by storm the second half of last season and almost brought the team into the playoffs. It should be interesting to see how he responds to not having a veteran back up to rely on. The departure of J.S. Gigure (Colarado) has opened the door for another youngster in Jonas Gustavvson, who has been injury prone in his brief career and dealt with a bad heart condition, which cut last season short meaning the number one job, is Reimer’s to lose. With all that being said, I like the Leafs to sneak in to the playoffs. It’ll be close but I think they have enough talent and a good compete level to make it. (3rd NE, 8th EC)

Montreal: The Canadiens are hoping for bounce back seasons up and down their line up with the exception of goaltender Carey Price. Price had his best season in the NHL last year and almost single handedly took his team to the postseason. If not for Tim Thomas being unbeatable last year Price might have possession of the Vezina Trophy this summer. As you can imagine he will be back between the pipes for the Habs when the season starts. After finding out that Alex Auld is not a suitable back up in the NHL, General Manager Pierre Gauthier went and found what he hopes to be his backup for the next two seasons in former Avalanche Peter Budaj.

On defense the Habs look for a healthy Andrei Markov to pick up where he left off two seasons ago before he was lost for the postseason in 2009-2010 and then all but 5 games last season after a brief comeback from an ACL tear. Challenging Markov for the #1 spot on the depth chart is young P.K. Subban. This kid is dynamite. When I first watched him play against the Amerks as a member of the Hamilton Bulldogs (MTL’s AHL affiliate) I thought he was vastly overrated and a bit of a hot dog. But as I took of the Amerk colored glasses I realized how special he is. He has a quick first step, a very quick release on a heavy and accurate shot, to go along with a bit of an edge that you don’t usually see in offensive defensemen. It’s too bad that Mike Richards was traded from Philly to LA because he and Subban had a bit of a grudge with each other. Anyhow, after Subban and Markov is a solid group that includes Hal Gill, Josh Georges and Jaroslav Spacek. The 6th spot could go to one of many prospects, Russian prospect Alexi Yemelin, Brendon Nash, or Raphael Diaz.

On the attack the Canadaiens have a bunch of nice players but no one who really grabs your eye during the game. Mike Cammalleri, Thomas Plekanec, Scott Gomez Andrei Kostitsyn, and Brian Gionta (Rochester Native!) along with free agent signee Erik Cole fill out the top six. Gomez is in the midst of what might be considered the worst contract of all time. He has done almost nothing while getting paid like a top 15 player in the league. Plekanec is a nice player but is better suited to be a 2nd line center not a #1. Gionta and Cammalleri can be big time goal scorers and bring a good two way game but they don’t have anyone to get them the puck…. except Gomez (fail). (4th in NE 11th in EC)

Ottawa: This season will be ugly Sens fans. Think Edmonton of the East. There is hope for the future with a core that just won the Calder Cup with AHL affiliate Binghamton but the future isn’t this year. GM Bryan Murray hasn’t done much to help his two stars in Jason Spezza and Daniel Alfredson. In fact since he took over as GM the Senators have not been close to matching the success he had as their coach. Gone are stars such as Zedeno Chara, Wade Redden, and Dany Heatley and in are Nikta Filatov, Zenon Konopka and an aging Sergei Gonchar. Yikes! After Spezza and Alfie there isn’t much the work with. Newcomer Filatov will be given a shot on the top line based on his “potential” and believe me folks I’ve seen him play multiple times as a member of the Syracuse Crunch and he just doesn’t get it. He’s lazy and avoids contact almost at all cost. Beyond him it’s a bunch of young kids and 4th liners like Chris Neil and Konopka.

Gonchar and lifetime Senator Chris Phillips lead a defense that also has young puck mover Erik Karlsson, tough stay at homer Matt Carkner, followed by fringe NHL players in Filip Kuba and Brian Lee. This group is unimpressive.

The lone bright spot might be in the crease. Murray made a slick move at last years deadline acquiring goaltender Craig Anderson (former Amerk) from Colorado. Anderson had a breakout season in 2009-2010 for the Avalanche who took the league by surprise. He can be and is a #1 goalie in my opinion. Last season was a lost year due to injuries including one that occurred during warm ups on a night he was going to be the back up. If he is back to 100% health he will steal some games for the Sens but it won’t be enough to get them to the post season. (5th in NE and 15th in EC)

That's it for now, I'll be back soon with the Atlantic Division preview.


Dan


Wednesday, June 15, 2011

Stanley Cup finals and round by round pick winner

Mine: 0-1, 9-6, (7)
JR: 0-1, 9-6 (7)
JB: 0-1, 3-4 (12)
DP: 0-1, 7-8 (11)
JG: 0-1, 2-5 (12)
TS: 1-0, 5-2 (8)
GV: 0-1, 2-5


Congratulations to Todd on being the only one to pick the cup winner. He finishes with the best winning percentage while Joey and and I both finished with the same record and the same number of games missed.

Saturday, May 28, 2011

Conference finals results and picks for the finals

Current Standings(this round, overall (tiebreak):
Mine: 1-1, 9-5, (7)
JR: 1-1, 9-5 (6)
JB: 1-1, 3-3 (10)
DP: 1-1, 7-7 (11)
JG: 1-1, 2-4 (11)
TS: 1-1, 4-2 (8)
GV: 0-2, 2-4


Conference finals results:
#3 Boston vs #5 Tampa Bay
Goaltending, goaltending, goaltending....wait, what? I dont think anyone expected 42 goals to be scored in the series, i think 42 would have been a better prediction for the entire round in terms of goals scored. Even if you said now you expected a high scoring battle, I probably wouldn't believe you. But indeed that is what we got, a game with 11 goals ending in a Boston win, then two more with 8 and 9 respectivly both ending in Tampa Bay wins. Of course there were a couple good goaltending battles in there as well, the 2-0 and 3-1 wins by Boston. Surprisingly Roloson was not the starter in the 3-1 loss for the lightning. Mike Smith was given his chance after performing very well in relief of Roloson earlier in the round. The best goaltending performance of course occurred in game 7. The teams combined for 62 shots on goal but only one went in the net. The 1-0 win for the Bruins marked the first loss for Roloson in an elimination game, he was previously 7-0. The series win comes despite the fact that Boston still has not found their powerplay. They scored only three powerplay goals in this series, 2 of them coming in their 6 goal game 2. The Bruins will need some more offense to get by the Canucks but since it is the NHL playoffs, who knows what will happen.
Oh and by the way if your a NBA fan and reading this saying the basketball playoffs are better, show me a player with more toughness and desire than Steven Stamkos. The guy blocked a shot with his face, breaks his nose, he gets patched up, throws on a cage and returns to the ice, all in under 10 mins. Yeah something about a separated shoulder or a sprained thumb or ankle just doesn't sound all that tough any more.
The Picks:  
Mine: Bruins in 7
TS: Bruins in 6
JB: Bruins in 5
DP: Lightning in 6
JR: Lightning in 6
GV: Lightning
JG: Lightning in 6


#1 Vancouver vs #2 San Jose
When the end came near, the Canucks star players shined brighter than the Sharks stars, and a little lucky bounce never hurt anyone either. The Canucks continue to look stronger as the playoffs move forward, despite the goaltending of Luongo. I give credit where credit is due, he is stopping the pucks that he needs to. His method is so sloppy though, ending up flat on his stomach after almost every save, naturally to a roar of louuuus from the Vancouver crowd. In four of the five games in the series, the Sharks held the lead at least once in the game, failing to hold on and get the win in all but the third game. In the two losses Vancouver scored the game winning goal in the third period, something the Sharks struggled to do for the most part. The series clinching goal was one of the most obscure goals I have seen in a while, all the credit in the world to Bieska for being the only person (referees included) on the ice to know where the puck was and to hit the net with the shot. If the Canucks scorers continue to score clutch goals like they did in this series, they will be a tough match up for either team from the East in the finals.
The picks:
Mine: Sharks in 7
TS: Sharks in 6
JB: Sharks in 6
DP: Canucks in 7
JR: Canucks in 7
GV: Sharks
JG: Canucks in 5



Stanley Cup Finals:
#1 Vancouver vs #3 Boston (Vancouver is the "home team")
This series has the potential to match the intensity of some of the first round series that we saw this year. Both teams have a physical style with big players to back it up. By the numbers both teams have fantastic goaltending, Thomas for the Bruins and Luongo for the Canucks. I think the advantage goes to Thomas and the Bruins here though, he has been too strong throughout the entire year to pick against him now. In front of the goalies there are a whole bunch of large defenseman on both teams. I think the Bruins also get the advantage here, they have been a major part of Thomas' success throughout the season and will continue to be throughout the finals. The defense is more important for Vancouver though, they need to keep shots to the outside and control the play in front of their goalie, if they can shut down the scorers for Boston, they should have no trouble. The offense category by all means goes to the Canucks. Their stars have continued to shine through the third round and are ready to lead the team to their first Stanley Cup Championship. The key for me for the series will the the powerplay and penalty kill units for both teams. Tampa Bay was supposed to have a potent powerplay but Boston shut them down other than a 3-4 effort in game 6. Vancouver will need to keep Bostons off the board as well, they have struggled throughout the playoffs, registering only 4 goals on the man advantage. However, if the Bruins can find their powerplay their chances will increase greatly. I've picked Boston over the course of the playoffs because of their home ice advantage, now they do not have it. The advantage is now with the Canucks, ill take them in 7 games.
The Picks:
JR: Canucks in 6
TS: Bruins in 7
JB: Canucks in 5
JG: Canucks in 6
GV: Canucks
DP: Canucks in 7

Friday, May 13, 2011

Conference finals matchups and post second round standings

I'll start by posting the results for the second round of playoff picks, as well as the overall results for those who picked both rounds so far. Second round results are listed first, the total for the first and second round is next followed by the over under for the number of games in the second round in the parenthesis.
Mine: 3-1, 8-4, (5)
JR: 2-2, 8-4, (3)
JB: 2-2 (7)
DP: 1-3, 6-6, (8)
JG: 1-3 (8)
TS: 3-1 (7)
GV: 2-2 (4)
Poll: 2-1, 7-4

Here are my predictions for the Conference Finals of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.

Eastern Conference
#3 Boston vs #5 Tampa Bay
 I believe that this will be one of the most intense match ups we have seen so far in the playoffs. Although the teams lack the rivalry that some of the series may have had so far, it doesn't matter much when you get this far into the playoffs. Their styles are offsetting a bit, Boston is focused on defense around Tim Thomas and Chara. Tampa Bay sports a much higher powered offense with the likes of St Louis and Lecavalier up front but have found a veteran in net that has carried them on thus far. Originally my thought process was to pick the bolts because of their powerplay and the ability to stop others. Then I realized that Boston has gotten this far without having a powerplay. Tim Thomas was the best goalie in the regular season and will continue to be in this series. The high powered offense of the Lightning will get a few wins, especially playing at home if their crowd decides to come to life. However, the combination of Thomas, along with just enough well timed offense the Bruins will make it into the finals with a game seven victory.
TS: Bruins in 6
JB: Bruins in 5
DP: Lightning in 6
JR: Lightning in 6
GV: Lightning
JG: Lightning in 6

Western Conference
#1 Vancouver vs #2 San Jose 
#1 vs #2, hockey fans couldn't have asked for anything better. Vancouver looked much more relaxed in the second round despite losing a very important game five on home ice. They played close games throughout the second round, getting much better goaltending from Roberto Luongo and playing a team game. They took advantage of special teams much more than they did against the Blackhawks in the opening round. The Sharks took the path that the Canucks took in the first round, getting up three games but using the four remaining games to close it out. At times the Sharks have looked brilliant, dominating a very skilled, though injured, Detroit team for long periods of time. If their defensive game is able to keep Kessler in check the will fair well in this round. These teams look almost identical on paper, having styles that are only slightly different from one another. Both teams have excellent goalies when they are on, Niemi has answered any questions that I had about his skills. Both have excellent defensive cores and both have players fully capable of making the other team pay, both physically on the scoreboard. I will be very surprised if this series goes any less than 6 games but ill take the Sharks in 7.
TS: Sharks in 6
JB: Sharks in 6
DP: Canucks in 7
JR: Canucks in 7
GV: Sharks
JG: Canucks in 5

Monday, May 9, 2011

2nd round results vs the picks

Here is a recap of the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs. Along with how all of those of us who made picks did. Some clearly much better than others.

#1 Washington vs #5 Tampa Bay
I thought going into this series that offense was going to be the key, I also thought that Washington's new found defensive style was going to help them out battle the Bolts. Turns out I couldn't have been off by more.  Goaltending turned out to be the key to the series after all. Roloson continued his fantastic play, allowing an average of 2.5 goals a game but more importantly making key stops at key times. On the other end Neuvirth lacked the killer instinct that Roloson has been showing. He averaged just under four goals against per game, conceding untimely goals such as the dagger by St Louis to make it 5-2 with only three minutes to go in the third. The Bolts got timely scoring from their stars and some from those who may have not been expected to contribute on the score sheet. Defensively the Bolts managed to shut down Ovechkin and Semin in a similar way to how Montreal did so in their comeback last year. Washington seemed to lack depth in the series when it came to scoring goals. The Caps scored three goals or less in each game of the series, only tallying two on two separate occasions. The Bolts had enough to make it through each game, including one in overtime, to sweep the Caps out of the playoffs in the minimum of four games. Todd was the only one to make the pick correctly but even he thought it would take longer than it did, picking the Bolts in six games.
Mine - Capitals in 6
JR - Capitals in 5
JB - Capitals in 7
DP - Capitals in 7
JG - Capitals in 7 
TS - Lightning in 6 
GV - Capitals in 6
Poll - by a vote of 6-2

#2 Philadelphia vs #3 Boston
The Flyers made it out of the first round despite the marry go round in goal. In the second round weak goaltending and a lack of offensive power came back to haunt them. Game two was the only one that was close in the entire series. Tim Thomas saved 52 shots in that game while the Bruins won another overtime games in the playoffs. In the other three games in the series the Bruins won by four goals. Totaling 17 goals to the five of the Flyers. On a not so hot side still, it took the Bruins till the final game of the series to finally get a power play goal in the playoffs. It came on a 5 on 3 with a minute to go while the game was already well in hand. Luckily for them it still counts as one and should help take some pressure off of their power play.
The win sets up a match up against the Lightning for the Bruins in the Eastern Conference finals.
The picks:
Mine - Bruins in 6
JR - Bruins in 6
JB - Flyers in 6
DP - Flyers in 7
JG - Flyers in 7
TS - Bruins in 6 
GV - Bruins in 6
Poll - Bruins by a vote of 5-3

#1 Vancouver vs #5 Nashville
With the help of their special teams Vancouver was able to wrap up a series a game shorter than in round one but still much closer than they would have liked. The Canucks claimed three wins in the city of Nashville as well as adding four power play goals on the road on only ten attempts. The win in game six marked the 13th game in 26 games for the overtime, and pressure, tested Canucks. Ryan Kesler registered at least a point in all but game one of the series, seeming to take the Canucks on his back as they were able to out power the Predators in the end. The series was by no means a blowout as I had thought it may be. Only one of the six games was decided by more than one goal, the odd game out being the two goal win, which included an empty net goal, for the Canucks in game four. The Canucks looked far better in their series than they did in the opening round, something they will need to continue with no matter who they face in the next round. In the mean time they will enjoy their two days off and hope that Detroit forces a game seven in the other Western Conference match up.
 Mine - Canucks in 5
JR - Canucks in 6
JB - Canucks in 5 
DP - Canucks in 5
JG - Canucks in 5
TS - Canucks in 4 
GV - Canucks in 6
Poll - Canucks by a vote of 7-1

#2 San Jose vs #3 Detroit
I had started to write up a series summary after game 3, the Wings were looking broken, history tells you that it wont be done. Yet after game 6 I deleted what I had planned to post after a Sharks series win. The Sharks showed many different faces over the course of this series. The first three games they were powerful and resilient to a point. Two overtime wins over one of the perennial powers in the West. Game four showed a few faces all in one game, falling behind 3-0, overcoming that deficit, then losing late in the third. Then the Sharks of the last few years showed up. A solid third period lead was lost in game 5, the doubt began to set in from observers about how the sharks were going to take the pressure. JJR took it the furthest calling Marleau guttless, but we all know about that story already. Another loss in game six set up the ultimate winner take all in sports, Game 7. Normally when a game gets as hyped as this game 7 did, it fails to live up to its expectations. The only thing better this game could have done was go to overtime. A hard fought battle that saw both teams have their share of chances to take control of the game. It took until the final buzzer for the Sharks to wrap up the series with a 3-2 win.  
Mine - Sharks in 7
JR - Red Wings in 7
JB - Sharks in 6 
DP - Red Wings in 6
JG - Red Wings in 6
TS - Red Wings in 6 
GV - Sharks in 7
Poll - vote of 4-4

Monday, May 2, 2011

2nd round results and the picks

The second round results will be posted as they come in, possibly even game by game this round. Also posted are the picks of those who sent them to me so we can either gaze in amazement or laugh at them.
Good luck!

Western Conference
#1 Vancouver vs #5 Nashville
Game 1: 1-0 Canucks
Game 2: 2-1 Predators (2 OT)
Game 3: 3-2 Canucks (OT)
Game 4: 4-2 Canucks
Game 5: 4-3 Predators
Game 6: 2-1 Canucks
The picks:
Mine - Canucks in 5
JR - Canucks in 6
JB - Canucks in 5 
DP - Canucks in 5
JG - Canucks in 5
TS - Canucks in 4 
GV - Canucks in 6
Poll - Canucks by a vote of 7-1

#2 San Jose vs #3 Detroit
Game 1: 2-1 Sharks (OT)
Game 2: 2-1 Sharks
Game 3: 4-3 Sharks (OT)
Game 4: 4-3 Red Wings
Game 5: 4-3 Red Wings
Game 6: 3-1 Red Wings
Game 7: 3-2 Sharks
The picks:
Mine - Sharks in 7
JR - Red Wings in 7
JB - Sharks in 6 
DP - Red Wings in 6
JG - Red Wings in 6
TS - Red Wings in 6 
GV - Sharks in 7
Poll - vote of 4-4


Eastern Conference
#1 Washington vs #5 Tampa Bay
Game 1: 4-2 Lightning
Game 2: 3-2 Lightning(OT)
Game 3: 4-3 Lightning
Game 4: 5-3 Lightning
The picks:
Mine - Capitals in 6
JR - Capitals in 5
JB - Capitals in 7
DP - Capitals in 7
JG - Capitals in 7 
TS - Lightning in 6 
GV - Capitals in 6
Poll - Capitals by a vote of 6-2

#2 Philadelphia vs #3 Boston
Game 1: Bruins 7-3
Game 2: Bruins 3-2 (OT)
Game 3: Bruins 5-1
Game 4: Bruins 5-1
The picks:
Mine - Bruins in 6
JR - Bruins in 6
JB - Flyers in 6
DP - Flyers in 7
JG - Flyers in 6(7) 
TS - Bruins in 6 
GV - Bruins in 6
Poll - Bruins by a vote of 5-3